by Jeff Harrison, of Combest-Sell and Associates
AgWeb.com
The Post's Problem with LDPs Is in Conflict with Its Views on Direct Payments
and Boils Down to Nothing More Than Opposition to Any U.S. Farm Policy.
Unlike direct payments, loan deficiency payments (LDPs) are linked to both
price and production.
The LDP, and the marketing loan generally, are critically important components
of the farm safety net precisely because they do relate directly to price and
production and therefore the farmers' risks. The LDP cannot be criticized by
the Post for being paid to those who do not plant a crop simply because LDPs
are only paid to producers that not only plant but also harvest a crop.
Judging by the first Post story, the LDP should be just the kind of policy the
Post likes - but, of course, it is not. The story had no quotes from shoulder
shrugging residents in the sprawling Houston exurbs saying they had never heard
of an LDP, much less gotten one - maybe followed up by a concerned inquiry from
the resident as to whether LDP vaccines or a quarantine of the neighborhood
will be required.
Rather, says the Post, the LDP is flawed, too. Why? Because it does not
suffer from the same flaw as direct payments.
As if to anticipate that people might just take notice of the total
contradiction between the two stories, the Post manages to find another
perceived flaw to hang its hat on. In a nutshell, the national average LDP was
larger in 2005 than the average difference between the national loan rate and
the national season average price, which the Post maintains ought never to
happen because the farmer should receive no more than the loan rate.
The Post never bothers to explore the administrative complexities of
accomplishing this simply because one doesn't spend time fixing what they wish
to throw away. It would be difficult to pay producers an LDP all at once some
period after harvest not only because harvest can drag on for months but
because the season average price cannot be known and collecting overages would
be a nightmare.
Paying producers at the time of sale would be administratively impossible
because a producer could simply sell the crop and buy it back for a small
transaction fee. Paying producers at the end of the marketing year misses the
point because the safety net of the LDP may be required much earlier to pay off
production bills.
Assuming that the same criticism would be leveled against the marketing loan
program (which apparently can be expected in the July 9 edition of the Post),
the alternative would be increased forfeitures to the federal government, which
experience indicates would be far more costly to the U.S. Treasury, with storage
costs and the long term overhang of heavy volumes in storage further depressing
prices and thus increasing forfeitures yet again.
The absence of LDPs and repayment rates under the marketing loan program are
also believed to be problematic relative to keeping crops at market clearing
levels. But more fundamentally than all of this, what the Post misses most is
common sense. Focusing strictly one whether the price the producer ultimately
receives on the market is higher than the loan rate is the equivalent of
focusing on the length of a horse's legs instead of his speed when betting at
the tracks!
The purpose of the LDP and the marketing loan, coupled with other components of
U.S. farm policy, is to provide a comprehensive safety net that effectively
addresses a multitude of price and production risks over the long haul.
An LDP overage in 2005 might be critically important to offsetting production
losses sustained on another tract in the same year, or production losses in the
year before or after, where he was or will be unable to collect a price on the
market, much less an LDP, and where crop loss assistance came up or will come
up short. The same 2005 overage might have been used to partially offset
record high energy prices that hit an energy intensive farming industry
especially hard and right in the middle of harvest.
As for the concern about LDPs causing overproduction, President Bush was
correct when he predicted at the bill signing ceremony that the 2002 Farm Bill
would not cause overproduction. It has not, according to USDA
statistics.
Printed With Permission.